Manufacturing · Margin management and raw material price volatility

Margin control for manufacturers.

Raw material costs can change by the day. Your price list, plan and hedges change far less often. Vadar Alpha connects all three to today's market, so each decision protects the margin you planned.

Teams
Procurement, plants, sales, risk
Decisions
Buy, make, sell, hedge
Measured as
Margin vs. agreed baseline
Start
Days, not months
The problem

Every team sees part of the margin.

Procurement buys at the best price it can find. Plants run to a standard cost. Sales prices to win. Each team does its job, but one raw material price move hits all of them at once, and margin slips between them because each team sees only its part.

  1. 01

    Volatile raw materials

    Metals, resins, energy and ingredients can move faster than an annual budget assumes.

  2. 02

    Thin, competitive margins

    End markets resist price increases, so a cost increase lands on margin first.

  3. 03

    Decisions made in silos

    Buying, making and selling are planned apart, so their combined effect on margin shows up late.

  4. 04

    Some sell the commodity too

    Steel, paper and packaging makers sell a product priced by a market, so a move can squeeze both sides of the margin at once.

How it works

One view of buy, make, sell and risk.

Vadar Alpha prices each decision against the same market data, so procurement, plants, sales and risk work from one picture of margin. Each decision gets a target and a range it should stay within.

Fig. 1 · Gross margin against planIllustrative
Gross margin, %
  • Plan
  • Without
  • With Vadar Alpha
  • Tolerance
  • Gain with Vadar Alpha
16%18%20%22%24%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecWith Vadar Alpha · 22%Plan · 22%Without · 20%Jan: Plan 22%, Without 22%, With Vadar Alpha 22%Feb: Plan 22%, Without 21%, With Vadar Alpha 22%Mar: Plan 22%, Without 20%, With Vadar Alpha 21%Apr: Plan 22%, Without 18%, With Vadar Alpha 21%May: Plan 22%, Without 19%, With Vadar Alpha 22%Jun: Plan 22%, Without 21%, With Vadar Alpha 22%Jul: Plan 22%, Without 22%, With Vadar Alpha 23%Aug: Plan 22%, Without 20%, With Vadar Alpha 22%Sep: Plan 22%, Without 19%, With Vadar Alpha 22%Oct: Plan 22%, Without 18%, With Vadar Alpha 21%Nov: Plan 22%, Without 19%, With Vadar Alpha 22%Dec: Plan 22%, Without 20%, With Vadar Alpha 22%
PlanWithoutWith Vadar AlphaTolerance (low)Tolerance (high)
Jan22%22%22%21%23%
Feb22%21%22%21%23%
Mar22%20%21%21%23%
Apr22%18%21%21%23%
May22%19%22%21%23%
Jun22%21%22%21%23%
Jul22%22%23%21%23%
Aug22%20%22%21%23%
Sep22%19%22%21%23%
Oct22%18%21%21%23%
Nov22%19%22%21%23%
Dec22%20%22%21%23%
Three steps
  1. 01

    Connect your systems of record

    We read your ERP, plant and contract data where it already lives.

  2. 02

    Price each decision

    Purchases, production runs, quotes and hedges are each priced against today's market, with a target and a range.

  3. 03

    Act, then measure

    Each team gets its instructions. We score the results against a baseline your finance team agrees on.

Fig. 2 · Margin gain by decision areaIllustrative
Margin gain, $K per year, midsize plant network
Buy$620KBuy, Margin gain: $620KMake$480KMake, Margin gain: $480KSell$710KSell, Margin gain: $710KRisk$390KRisk, Margin gain: $390K
Margin gain
Buy$620K
Make$480K
Sell$710K
Risk$390K
What it earns

Gains in every part of the business.

Each gain is scored against a baseline your finance team agrees on before we start, and tied to the decision that produced it. We count each dollar once.

In depth

A closer look at margin management and raw material price volatility

Margin management means treating margin as one number that every team affects, and managing it against the live market rather than the annual budget.

01

Why margin leaks between teams

Procurement is measured on purchase price, plants on cost per unit, sales on revenue and risk on hedge results. Each measure makes sense alone. But a single raw material move touches all four, and the margin lost between them belongs to nobody. That is where most leakage hides.

02

One live picture of margin

Vadar Alpha prices every purchase, production run, quote and hedge against the same live market data. Each team keeps its own work and tools, but all of them see how their decisions add up to the year's earnings.

03

Targets and tolerances

Every decision gets a target and a tolerance. When the market moves past a tolerance, the owner gets a plain instruction with the dollars at stake and the point at which it stops paying. Inside tolerance, nobody is interrupted.

04

Measuring the result

Results are read from your own systems and measured against a baseline your finance team agrees on before we start. Each dollar is counted once, so the gains add up to the margin finance reports.

05

Steel and metals: the metal spread

A steel or metals producer earns the spread between its selling price and the cost of scrap, iron ore and energy. Both sides follow markets, often on different calendars. Vadar Alpha prices each order and each raw material purchase against that spread, so a quote never sells below what it costs to replace the metal.

06

Packaging and paper: fiber and resin

Containerboard and paper follow recycled fiber, pulp and energy. Plastic packaging follows resin. Customer prices often reset on an index months later. Vadar Alpha prices fiber, resin and energy purchases against the market and shows when an index reset will or will not recover the cost.

What your team sees

One instruction. One owner. One number.

Every decision arrives as a plain instruction, with the dollars at stake, the reason, and the point at which it stops paying.

Measured as
  • Purchase price variance
  • Cost per unit made
  • Net price realization
  • Earnings at risk
Instruction · BuyDue today
Q1 steel coil: buy 30% now, the rest month by month.
+$142,000
Owner
Procurement
Why
Hot-rolled coil for Q1 delivery is 5% below today's price. This stops paying if today's price falls 4% before January.
Measured as
Purchase price variance against your buying policy
TakeOverride
Questions

Questions we hear most.

What is margin leakage in manufacturing?

Margin lost between the margin you planned and the margin you earn. It comes from cost increases passed on late, discounts given without a margin check, standard costs that are out of date, and price risk left unhedged. Vadar Alpha finds it decision by decision and puts a dollar value on each.

How can manufacturers protect margin from raw material price volatility?

By pricing buying, production, pricing and hedging against the same market data, with a target for each decision. Then one price move is answered across the business, not one team at a time.

What happens when the market moves?

Each decision has a target and a range it should stay within. When the market moves outside that range, the owner gets a plain instruction with the dollars at stake and the point at which it stops paying. Inside the range, the team is left to get on with its work.

Which manufacturers do you work with?

Companies with large input costs, volatile prices and volumes, thin margins and competitive end markets, where costs are hard to pass on. We start with one decision and show its value on your own data in days.

We make steel or packaging. Does this fit us?

Yes. A steel maker's margin is its selling price minus scrap, iron ore and energy. A packaging maker's is its selling price minus recycled fiber, pulp, resin and energy. Vadar Alpha prices both sides of that spread against the market, so each order and each purchase shows its margin before you commit.

Start here

See what your margin could be.

A 30 minute conversation to see where your margin leaks and whether we can help.

Book a call